Crypto ETF Launch Timelines: Delays, Uncertainty & Market Impact

2 min read

Why crypto ETF launch timelines remain up in the air

Let’s take a moment to explore the recent updates in the world of cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

### SEC Delays Decision on Fidelity’s Spot Solana ETF

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has postponed its ruling on Fidelity’s proposal for a spot Solana ETF. This delay was anticipated, serving as a reminder that the regulatory body still needs to address various issues before granting approvals. Last month, the SEC’s interactions with issuers had generated some optimism about potential early decisions ahead of the October deadlines. A source familiar with the filings indicated that the SEC had reached out to asset managers regarding their latest amendments, giving them until July 31 to answer new inquiries about the “structural aspects of the product.” However, the same source noted that the SEC may be waiting to finalize anticipated “generic listing standards” before giving the green light for Solana funds. SEC staff has sought feedback from exchanges on these drafts, with current expectations leaning toward a release closer to October or possibly later.

### Uncertainty Surrounds Timelines

Conversations with industry insiders reveal a general lack of confidence in timelines, as the market is navigating largely uncharted waters. It’s important to highlight that SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce has called for patience multiple times, suggesting that the SEC is unlikely to rush its decision-making process.

### Grayscale’s ETF Approval Status

In a related note, I previously reported on the SEC granting NYSE Arca’s 19b-4 to list the Grayscale Digital Large Cap Fund (GDLC) as an ETF. However, a letter dated July 1 from the SEC’s deputy secretary to NYSE Group’s senior counsel stated that this order is currently “stayed” until further notice from the regulator. A representative from Grayscale remarked that while this turn of events was unexpected, it underscores the fluid and evolving nature of regulations surrounding innovative digital asset products like GDLC. The firm remains focused on pursuing the GDLC listing, alongside Bitwise’s efforts to convert its Bitwise 10 Crypto Index Fund (BITW) into an ETF, and Hashdex’s ambition to expand its Nasdaq Crypto Index US ETF (NCIQ). However, no recent updates have emerged regarding the proposals from Bitwise and Hashdex, leading to a state of uncertainty.

### New ETF Applications Amidst the Uncertainty

Despite the current pause on existing proposals, Yorkville America Digital, in collaboration with Trump Media and Technology Group, has filed for a Truth Social Crypto Blue Chip ETF. This proposed fund aims to allocate its investments primarily in Bitcoin (70%), Ethereum (15%), Solana (8%), Cronos (5%), and XRP (2%). A spokesperson has yet to provide insights into the reasoning behind these specific allocations, particularly the inclusion of Cronos, which is linked to Crypto.com, a partner of Trump Media. Today, Cronos holds the 44th position in market capitalization among cryptocurrencies, according to data from CoinGecko.

### Progress in Crypto Investment Products

In summary, while there has been movement in the paperwork for various ETFs, this has not yet translated into actual launches, with the exception of the REX-Osprey SOL Staking ETF, which operates under a different structure than traditional crypto trusts. Looking at the trading landscape, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs have experienced a significant influx of capital, recording net inflows for 18 out of the last 19 trading days, amounting to a total of $5.6 billion during this period. The sector is nearing a milestone with net inflows approaching $50 billion, as reported by Farside Investors. Meanwhile, U.S. Ethereum ETF inflows from June 9 to July 7 totaled a commendable $1.1 billion.

### Continued Demand for Crypto Investment Products

According to data from CoinShares, we have now seen twelve consecutive weeks of inflows into crypto investment products, pushing assets under management (AUM) to an all-time high of $188 billion. There is curiosity about the level of demand that will be observed for other single-asset crypto ETFs once they become available in the U.S. Some analysts suggest that the more significant opportunity may lie in crypto index funds, which are designed for investors who prefer not to spend time selecting individual assets. This perspective seems reasonable, but the market’s response will clarify the situation in due course.